One-third of Ukrainians predict the end of the war no earlier than 2027
More than a third of the surveyed Ukrainians believe that the war with Russia will end no earlier than 2027, while less than a quarter hope for a quicker resolution. These data were released by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology.
According to the survey results, only 9% of Ukrainians expect the conflict to end before the beginning of 2026, which is a decrease compared to 18% in September. Only 14% believe in the end of the war in the first half of 2026, which has remained almost unchanged compared to the previous month. Overall, no more than a quarter of Ukrainians consider the possibility of the war ending in the relatively near future.
Meanwhile, 32% of Ukrainians predict the end of the war in 2027 or later, which remains at the same level as in September. A significant number of respondents, namely 33%, are undecided on the issue, which is a significant increase compared to the previous month, when the figure was 23%.
Most Ukrainians, specifically 63%, are ready to endure the war for as long as it takes to achieve the result. This nearly matches the September figure of 62%. Meanwhile, 15% of respondents stated their readiness to endure the war for six months or a few months.
The survey was conducted from November 26 to December 13, 2025. It involved 547 respondents over 18 years old living in Ukraine-controlled territories. The specified statistical error does not exceed 5.6% for indicator levels close to 50%, 4.8% for those near 25%, 3.4% for those around 10%, and 2.5% for those close to 5%.
| End of the war term | Percentage of respondents |
|---|---|
| Before the beginning of 2026 | 9% |
| First half of 2026 | 14% |
| Second half of 2026 | 11% |
| 2027 or later | 32% |
| Don’t know | 33% |
